Category: Future

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From Here to Human-Level Artificial General Intelligence in Four (Not All That) Simple Steps

From Here to Human-Level Artificial General Intelligence in Four (Not All That) Simple Steps In the 15 years since I first introduced the term “artificial general intelligence” (AGI), the AI field has advanced tremendously. We now have self-driving cars, automated face recognition and image captioning, machine translation and expert AI game-players, and so much more.…
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From Here to Human-Level Artificial General Intelligence in Four (Not All That) Simple Steps

From Here to Human-Level Artificial General Intelligence in Four (Not All That) Simple Steps In the 15 years since I first introduced the term “artificial general intelligence” (AGI), the AI field has advanced tremendously. We now have self-driving cars, automated face recognition and image captioning, machine translation and expert AI game-players, and so much more.…
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Is the Rise of AI on Wall Street for Better or Worse?

Is the Rise of AI on Wall Street for Better or Worse? May 6, 2010, is a date that should live in infamy. On that day, the US stock market suffered a trillion-dollar collapse. Do you remember it? In just 15 minutes from 2:45 pm, the Dow Jones plunged by almost 9 percent. Had it…
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Is the Rise of AI on Wall Street for Better or Worse?

Is the Rise of AI on Wall Street for Better or Worse? May 6, 2010, is a date that should live in infamy. On that day, the US stock market suffered a trillion-dollar collapse. Do you remember it? In just 15 minutes from 2:45 pm, the Dow Jones plunged by almost 9 percent. Had it…
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Why Most of Us Fail to Grasp Coming Exponential Gains in AI

Why Most of Us Fail to Grasp Coming Exponential Gains in AI By now, most of us are familiar with Moore’s Law, the famous maxim that the development of computing power follows an exponential curve, doubling in price-performance (that is, speed per unit cost) every 18 months or so. When it comes to applying Moore’s…
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The Earth’s Carrying Capacity for Human Life Is Not Fixed

The Earth’s Carrying Capacity for Human Life Is Not Fixed In a recent Nature Sustainability paper, a team of scientists concluded that the Earth can sustain, at most, only 7 billion people at subsistence levels of consumption (and this June saw us at 7.6 billion). Achieving “high life satisfaction” for everyone, however, would transgress the…
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Traditional Advertising Is Soon to Be History. Here’s What Will Replace It

Traditional Advertising Is Soon to Be History. Here’s What Will Replace It This year (2018), the global advertising industry is projected to surpass $550 billion. Advertising revenues have driven Google’s valuation to >$700 billion, and Facebook to >$500 billion. All of that is about to change. What if I were to tell you that the…
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Traditional Advertising Is Soon to Be History. Here’s What Will Replace It

Traditional Advertising Is Soon to Be History. Here’s What Will Replace It This year (2018), the global advertising industry is projected to surpass $550 billion. Advertising revenues have driven Google’s valuation to >$700 billion, and Facebook to >$500 billion. All of that is about to change. What if I were to tell you that the…
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New DNA Synthesis Method Could Soon Build a Genome in a Day

New DNA Synthesis Method Could Soon Build a Genome in a Day Synthetic biologists are the computer programmers of biology. Their code? DNA. The whole enterprise sounds fantastical: you insert new snippets of DNA code—in the form of a chain of A, T, C, G letters—into an organism, and bam! Suddenly you have bacteria that…
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Laws of Flight: As Drones Take Off, Regulation Lags

Laws of Flight: As Drones Take Off, Regulation Lags In 2014, a drone got tangled in the power lines outside a South Carolina prison carrying a small payload of marijuana and a cellphone. Police arrested a man in a nearby campsite who’d been running this smuggling operation using radio-controlled drones. A year later, a civilian-operated…
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